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Risk-Off Trade Gets an Extension
Bonds and bullion climb, dollar wobbles, oil drops, and banks flash stress as the “risk on” trade falters
Oct 17
•
David Rosenberg
6
As the AI Bubble Continues, Regional Banks Roll Over
More decoupling between AI and the rest of the economy, with Regional Bank stocks off their peak.
Oct 16
•
David Rosenberg
5
Did Jamie Dimon Just Hint That Gold Could Go to $10,000/oz?
Gold’s bull run continues, while the U.S. dollar’s countertrend rally may be sputtering out.
Oct 15
•
David Rosenberg
7
U.S.-China Trade Frictions Back on the Front Burner
Global markets saw brief rebound falter as renewed U.S.-China trade tensions pressured equities, while bonds gained on weak U.K. labor data and the yen…
Oct 14
•
David Rosenberg
7
High Stakes in the AI Trade
With EPS growth expectations double the historical norm, the whole market is priced for perfection that may not arrive.
Oct 10
•
David Rosenberg
7
Gold/Silver Miners Lead the Way
Japan’s political shift has fueled a record rally in the Nikkei. Gold tops $4,000 amid policy turmoil, while the AI boom rides on $1.2 trillion in debt.
Oct 9
•
David Rosenberg
7
Gold Breaks Above $4,000 Even in the Face of the USD Countertrend Rally
This leg of the gold rally is being driven by interest rates, structural pressures, and risk hedging — not the U.S. dollar.
Oct 8
•
David Rosenberg
4
Shutdown? What Shutdown?
AI megadeals meet recessionary signals from the ISM jobs data and Fed diffusion index, while shutdown worries recede.
Oct 7
•
David Rosenberg
5
Shifting Political Winds Send the Nikkei to Record Highs and French Equities Tumbling (and Bond Yields Jumping)
Risk-on roars with Japan’s surge, France plunges into crisis, and gold rallies as the 60-20-20 mix gains traction
Oct 6
•
David Rosenberg
3
A Global Spree of AI Partnerships Drives the Tech Sector to New Records
Equities surge on AI partnerships; and is the shutdown being used to downsize government?
Oct 3
•
David Rosenberg
7
OpenAI Deal Fuels Chip Frenzy
A flurry of big AI deals are the latest bullish signal for chips, as equity markets notch another record high.
Oct 2
•
David Rosenberg
6
First Government Shutdown in Seven Years - One Casualty Will Be the Data Releases
The key nonfarm payrolls report on Friday will be delayed by the shutdown, and CPI could also be affected.
Oct 1
•
David Rosenberg
5
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