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Why the 4.9% GDP Print in Q3 Was “Fake News”
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Why the 4.9% GDP Print in Q3 Was “Fake News”

Sorry, but it just doesn’t pass the proverbial sniff test

David Rosenberg's avatar
David Rosenberg
Oct 31, 2023
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Early Morning with Dave
Early Morning with Dave
Why the 4.9% GDP Print in Q3 Was “Fake News”
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Highlights

  • The outlook for equities is bearish despite yesterday’s gains — major averages remain below their 50- and 200-day trendlines 

  • As for the Fed tomorrow, expect a "hawkish pause" given the recent strong data on labor market and consumer spending 

  • Credit markets look highly attractive relative to equities 

  • If GDP really was 4.9% in Q3 (vs. potential at 1.8%), we would expect to see higher inflation and lower unemployment 

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