Early Morning with Dave

Early Morning with Dave

Recession Thumbprints on the Sales and Production Numbers

Only in the first quarter of 1978 did we fail to have a recession with this combination of weakness in sales volumes and manufacturing activity in the first month of a quarter

David Rosenberg's avatar
David Rosenberg
Feb 16, 2024
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Highlights

  • A strange new world — stocks rally on recessionary data and bonds sell off on deflation

  • Fiscal stimulus and credit are keeping the U.S. economy afloat (not sustainable)

  • Looking at index turnover and performance… a case for passive investing

  • Emerging Markets look attractive from a valuation standpoint

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