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Early Morning with Dave
RBNZ Cuts Rates and Offers Dovish Guidance –and The Long End of the Bond Market Rallies!

RBNZ Cuts Rates and Offers Dovish Guidance –and The Long End of the Bond Market Rallies!

New Zealand’s long-term yields sink and currency declines on dovish guidance

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David Rosenberg
Aug 20, 2025
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Early Morning with Dave
Early Morning with Dave
RBNZ Cuts Rates and Offers Dovish Guidance –and The Long End of the Bond Market Rallies!
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Highlights

• New Zealand’s long-term yields sink and currency declines on dovish guidance

• Recovery of lagging sectors is not enough to lift the S&P 500

• Japan’s export growth hit by tariff pressures

• GDP estimates diverge sharply across Fed district banks

Key Takeaways

• S&P 500 Slips Even While Most Stocks Rise: What stood out the most yesterday, in a sign of how the Magnificent 7 is now giving up leadership, was the fact that the cap-weighted S&P 500 sagged by -0.6%, while the equal-weighted index climbed +0.5%. This performance gap has only happened two other times since mid-April. In fact, on a down day for the overall market, 70% of the members of the S&P 500 actually advanced yesterday.

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