Early Morning with Dave

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Looking for a Yield Opportunity? Check Out the U.K. Gilts Market

Quiet tape and loud policy risk: U.S. dollar wobbles, gold firms, gilts look compelling.

David Rosenberg's avatar
David Rosenberg
Sep 25, 2025
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Key Takeaways

  • Attractive Gilt Yields on BoE Cut Prospects: If you are scanning the world for an attractive yield with price appreciation prospects, I suggest looking at the U.K. gilts market where the 10-year yield is now just a snick below 4.7%. Compare and contrast with 1.63% in Japan, 2.74% in Germany, 3.30% in Spain, 3.56% in France, 3.57% in Italy, and 3.42% in Greece (!), 4.20% in New Zealand, and 4.34% in Australia. Pretty much the highest yield for any AA-rated sovereign on the planet. See Pimco bets on fall in UK inflation to open door to deeper rate cuts on page 10 of today’s FT.

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